McDermott going for 2 just because a penalty gave them the short extra point wound up cascading to a 3 point swing in our favor. They fail on another try and then it incentivised us to get a successful 2 for a 7 point lead in the 4th quarter. It showed their arrogance in assuming Allen is unstoppable from 2 yards out, and that arrogance continued in their later tush push failures.
Here's where the counterfactual gets interesting. Instead of being down 32-29 on their last drive, it would have been 31-31 on their 4th and 5 at the 2 minute warning. Decision time. Kick us deep, or don't take a chance on letting Mahomes have the ball back? I think they definitely still go for it given the history of Mahomes having the ball last.
Assuming so, it would have made the ending a little more dramatic with a Butker kick to end it. A good reminder why you don't chase points early. They were just trying to make it 21-18 instead of 21-17 at the end of the first half. [Reply]
Originally Posted by RealSNR:
I love that Andy doesn't chase points. It's absolutely silly how some coaches will do this shit in the first half.
Mostly true, but I do think you should chase the points in the 4th quarter when you already have the 7 point lead and a chance to make the game a 9 point lead instead of a 8 point lead. Massive difference between a two possession lead and one possession lead in the 4th quarter.
Chiefs had this exact scenario against Houston. Andy chose to take the 8 point lead instead of trying for the 9 point lead against Houston. Thankfully it didn't matter in the end, but he extended Houston's chances by keeping it a one possession game at the time. 9 point lead would have been a lot closer to a kill shot. [Reply]
And teams used to be WAY too conservative on going for it on fourth down because, oh my gosh. You would be made fun of by Monday morning quarterbacks when a statistically smart play didn't work out.
Yes, you can go to the other extreme, not saying that. [Reply]
I posted in another thread the refs eating bullets are doing McDermott (probably urged by Joe Brady) a fucking solid.
TAKING POINTS OFF THE BOARD is monumentally stupid. They should be getting roasted for that shit right now, but instead the refs are over here eating bullets for the cause. [Reply]
The 2 point conversion. Situational football. Danna, Tranquill & Justin Reid get low and rotate their bodies to keep the OL from driving defenders back. The 3 of them are crucial from stopping Allen’s momentum. Jaylen Watson is ready for the pitch back. #Chiefs#ChiefsKingdompic.twitter.com/ZD9pOONEPg
Originally Posted by Buehler445:
I posted in another thread the refs eating bullets are doing McDermott (probably urged by Joe Brady) a ****ing solid.
TAKING POINTS OFF THE BOARD is monumentally stupid. They should be getting roasted for that shit right now, but instead the refs are over here eating bullets for the cause.
Sure, that should factor into the odds, so yes for a normal 2 point try it is compared to there would be some relatively small chance of missing the 1 point. But again, if you think you have a definitely better than 50% chance, it is a positive play. [Reply]