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Nzoner's Game Room>Investing megathread extravaganza
DaFace 11:23 AM 06-27-2016
A place to talk about investing stuff.
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petegz28 03:32 PM 05-24-2022
Originally Posted by scho63:
AMZN stock has been a giant pile of dog shit. I got my RSU's at $3,300 and now the stock is $2,080 - a giant loss for me.

Glad I'm leaving here next week. :-)

They got caught in the gluteny that was Covid hand outs. People were handing money and couldn't go anywhere so they bought "stuff". Now Amazon has too much warehouse space, etc. But it will even out in the long run. No one is going to stop using Amazon.
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Hog's Gone Fishin 05-24-2022, 03:54 PM
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Hog's Gone Fishin 05-24-2022, 03:56 PM
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scho63 04:10 PM 05-24-2022
Originally Posted by Hog's Gone Fishin:
What's going to be your next adventure after Amazon ?
6-12 months off and then I need to squeeze 2 years out from somewhere. I'm gonna start looking around October

I actually wouldn't mind working overseas.
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Hog's Gone Fishin 05-24-2022, 04:22 PM
This message has been deleted by Hog's Gone Fishin.
Rain Man 09:18 PM 05-24-2022
Originally Posted by Hog's Gone Fishin:
Faang stocks ,TSLA /MSFT since Jan.1

AAPL -20.96%
MSFT -22.81%
GOOGL -26.79%
AMZN -37.56%
TSLA -40.57%
FB -46.10%
NFLX -70.07%
Yep, that fits per my end of year summary.

Originally Posted by Rain Man:

...

My ten largest holdings (not including my wife's stuff) are 31.1 percent of my total holdings, and are presented below with their annual total return.

Cash and Money Markets 0.01%
GOOG 67.43%
AMZN 4.64%
MSFT 55.23%
TSLA 44.81%
MPW 18.35%
ATCO 37.05%
TSM 9.26%
FTANX 5.67%
AAPL 37.72%

...

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Hog's Gone Fishin 09:24 PM 05-24-2022
Originally Posted by Rain Man:
Yep, that fits per my end of year summary.
I actually think GOOGL and AMZN splitting soon may be good timing. Those stocks will be reasonably priced now when the day comes that money starts coming back in.

If you just google up "which companies have the most cash" you get:

AAPL
GOOGL
MSFT
Amazon

Those aren't staying down , They're the backbone of investment portfolios.
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petegz28 11:43 AM 05-25-2022
If things hold today I will get the first buy signal on my volatility indicator since March on the QQQs. SPYs are close but not quite there.

I am also seeing some positive divergences in other indicators but we still remain firmly in a downtrend
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scho63 03:44 PM 05-25-2022
Originally Posted by Hog's Gone Fishin:
Might be some good gigs in Ukraine. Construction supervisor jobs should be in high demand. Don't go back to China though, I think they'll still be battling new Covid strains and you might get trapped. Good luck in whatever you do, I'm sure a year off is looking tasty right now.
I'm actually looking at Vietnam. Nha Trang Beach area

Apartment on Beach $350-400 a month :-)
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petegz28 08:29 AM 05-26-2022
Good chart action today on both the QQQs and SPYs. Looks like at the least a pause in the downtrend. Not close to calling it a reversal and won't be anytime soon.

I think the freak out over Snap Chat the other day signaled a lot of irrationality in the market. We have the best chart action right now since early March. Some positive divergences on various indicators, volatility is trying to come in and it looks like things like high gas and food prices are starting to put the kibosh on things.

Home sales and the related are starting to take a huge hit which is actually good. High gas prices are doing what the Fed didn't, wouldn't or couldn't do, which is create some demand destruction.
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Hog's Gone Fishin 09:23 AM 05-26-2022
Originally Posted by scho63:
I'm actually looking at Vietnam. Nha Trang Beach area

Apartment on Beach $350-400 a month :-)
My brother was telling me last night that when he was in the marines in vietnam the joke was that ." make sure you don't get captured by the women VC because they have orders to rape any and all prisoners"
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Peter Gibbons 10:14 AM 05-26-2022
Originally Posted by scho63:
I'm actually looking at Vietnam. Nha Trang Beach area

Apartment on Beach $350-400 a month :-)
Nice! Make sure to try one of those hanging/swinging chair things with the locals. I’ve always been fascinated by the thought of that device.
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scho63 10:58 AM 05-26-2022
Originally Posted by Peter Gibbons:
Nice! Make sure to try one of those hanging/swinging chair things with the locals. I’ve always been fascinated by the thought of that device.
:-):-):-):-):-)
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petegz28 11:11 AM 05-26-2022
My volatility indicators keep wanting to flash a buy signal, but these 2%-4% moves every day are erasing it.
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petegz28 01:26 PM 05-26-2022
Too many talking heads saying the same thing, "we haven't seen capitulation yet..."

They act as if there is some rule that you have to have some form of capitulation. I am not even saying this is the bottom but I am getting more and more convinced that a lot of these talking heads are going to miss the bottom.
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Hog's Gone Fishin 01:56 PM 05-26-2022
They just said on CNBC awhile ago the last 100 days of NASDAQ has been the Worst 100 days in the history of the NASDAQ

They mentioned some fool on Chiefsplanet apparently started a Stock challenge that sunk the ship. Well, not really but the 100 day part was really stated.
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scho63 03:54 PM 05-26-2022
My Ford options are doing very well.
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ChiliConCarnage 05:44 PM 05-26-2022
Originally Posted by petegz28:
Home sales and the related are starting to take a huge hit which is actually good. High gas prices are doing what the Fed didn't, wouldn't or couldn't do, which is create some demand destruction.


That's the highest the 30 year mortgage rate has been since the GFC. In a matter of a few months from the lowest it'd ever been. It's higher than we got in the 2018 tightening cycle where they took FFR to 2.75%(?) - not sure on the exact number.

I think the Feds rhetoric is definitely slowing demand and, sadly, I think if you flip that chart upside down it's my stock portfolio. Psychology is important for both the economy and stock market and I'm seeing recession references a lot of late. Nobody likes losing wealth

I did get a .10% boost to my savings account though! hooray
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