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Nzoner's Game Room>DVOA and Postseason odds tracking
Hammock Parties 12:51 PM 09-23-2024
Chiefs DVOA

https://ftnfantasy.com/dvoa/nfl/team-total-dvoa

3rd Ovr.
9th Off.
4th Def.

Postseason odds

https://ftnfantasy.com/nfl/dvoa-playoff-odds


96%.2 chance AFC West title
76.4% chance 1 seed (1st)
64.9% chance AFCCG App (1st)
38.6% AFCCG Win (1st)
20.7% chance SB Win (2nd)
5.7% chance 17-0 (1st)
[Reply]
comochiefsfan 06:22 PM 11-11-2024
Originally Posted by TambaBerry:
No chance also if we get the 1 and have a bye I don't even know if he rests them the last week
Man I don’t know.

It would feel really fucking stupid to get Patrick or Kelce (or any important starter for that matter) injured for the playoffs in a game with zero stakes.

This is a veteran team. They could take a month off, come back and not miss a beat.

I’m sure Kelce, Chris and some of the older players could use the extended rest too.
[Reply]
Hammock Parties 06:43 PM 11-11-2024
Originally Posted by comochiefsfan:
If we wrap up the one seed early, like in Week 15 or 16;

Would Andy rest the starters for multiple regular season games?
They will be on a pitch count in Week 17 and sit in Week 18.
[Reply]
pugsnotdrugs19 07:04 PM 11-11-2024
Reid showed us in 2020 that they will rest starters week 18 if they have a chance to. And then they came out and looked good as fuck against CLE in the divisional round until Mahomes got hurt.

I would sit them. You can’t risk injury. They’ve played so much football these last few years, they aren’t gonna be rusty. Also with no bye late this year, it’s gonna be even more needed.

If this team is fully fresh, it’s gonna pop on screen come that playoff game. The speed differential will be visible.
[Reply]
comochiefsfan 07:43 PM 11-11-2024
Originally Posted by pugsnotdrugs19:
Reid showed us in 2020 that they will rest starters week 18 if they have a chance to. And then they came out and looked good as **** against CLE in the divisional round until Mahomes got hurt.

I would sit them. You can’t risk injury. They’ve played so much football these last few years, they aren’t gonna be rusty. Also with no bye late this year, it’s gonna be even more needed.

If this team is fully fresh, it’s gonna pop on screen come that playoff game. The speed differential will be visible.
I have zero doubt they will sit for week 18.

I wonder if he would also sit them for week 17 if we have the bye locked up by then.
[Reply]
pugsnotdrugs19 08:06 PM 11-11-2024
Originally Posted by comochiefsfan:
I have zero doubt they will sit for week 18.

I wonder if he would also sit them for week 17 if we have the bye locked up by then.
That would be going too far IMO. I’d at least let them play a half.
[Reply]
DJ's left nut 08:34 PM 11-11-2024
Originally Posted by InChiefsHeaven:
One guy is not enough. If that's the only reason to worry, there is no reason to worry.
It shouldn't be, no.

But Reid, going all the way back to Von Miller vs Alex Smith, has shown a really bad tendency to go SUPER conservative in the face of a dominant pass rusher from time to time.

I don't imagine we'd see that in the postseason but perhaps in that regular season game. That is likely to be a brutally ugly football game.
[Reply]
jjchieffan 11:01 PM 11-11-2024
Originally Posted by DJ's left nut:
It shouldn't be, no.

But Reid, going all the way back to Von Miller vs Alex Smith, has shown a really bad tendency to go SUPER conservative in the face of a dominant pass rusher from time to time.

I don't imagine we'd see that in the postseason but perhaps in that regular season game. That is likely to be a brutally ugly football game.
Von Miller isn't exactly a dominant pass rushers anymore. I believe that he's got what, 3 sacks this year? And their pass rush group as a whole is middle of the pack.
[Reply]
smithandrew051 11:10 PM 11-11-2024
Originally Posted by jjchieffan:
Von Miller isn't exactly a dominant pass rushers anymore. I believe that he's got what, 3 sacks this year? And their pass rush group as a whole is middle of the pack.
I think they were talking about Watt and the Steelers.

Prime Von was used as a comparison to Watt.
[Reply]
Tribal Warfare 12:44 AM 11-12-2024
Originally Posted by TambaBerry:
No chance also if we get the 1 and have a bye I don't even know if he rests them the last week
They'll treat it like a preseason game. The starters will play the 1st half then let the backups start in the 2nd half if they clinched the #1 seed and to have recorded that Patrick started all 17 games.
[Reply]
Hammock Parties 10:49 PM 11-21-2024
Chiefs fall to 5th overall.

https://ftnfantasy.com/nfl/dvoa-playoff-odds

91.4% chance AFC West title (-5%)
53.1% chance 1 seed (1st) (-23%)
50.3% chance AFCCG App (1st) (-15%)
27.2% AFCCG Win (1st) (-11%)
11% chance SB Win (3rd) (-10%)
[Reply]
ThaVirus 10:32 AM 11-22-2024
Whew, 43% chance of a Super Bowl win for Detroit?

The Lions are being set up for a MIGHTY fall.
[Reply]
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