Originally Posted by RunKC:
Great article. Nix is the same guy doing the same shit against backup players.
Let’s start with the completion rate. It’s a nice big number, which looks great. Any completion percentage that starts with a seven will draw some eyes. Nix completed eight of nine passes (88.9 percent) in the preseason game against the Packers, which is even cooler.
But let’s dive into those. To start, while Nix played with Broncos starters, it was against a Packers defense that did not play most of its starters and sat back in a passive version of Cover-3 for much of the game (eight of Nix’s 12 dropbacks).
Against Green Bay, Nix had an average depth of target of just 3.8 yards, per TruMedia. His average depth of completion was 4.5 yards past the line of scrimmage. Among 74 quarterbacks who threw at least five passes in preseason Week 2, his aDOT ranked 68th (Wilson was 67th and Stidham was 69th).
This carried over from the first preseason game. Nix had a higher aDOT against the Colts (7.1) but still only had a 4.9-yard average depth of completion. Both his aDOT and average depth of completion are near the lower end of rookie quarterbacks this preseason, while Nix has the second-most dropbacks of the group.
Originally Posted by Mile High Mania:
I don't think too many actually buy into the notion he is QB3 on the depth chart. Barring something crazy happening, Nix starts week 1 at this point, he's earned the job and neither of the other 2 has done anything to say otherwise.
Just named Bo Nix the starter for week 1. Let’s see what he does playing ont he road the first 3/4 against 3 defenses ranked top 10 in points allowed last year and the other adding Mike McDonald (road opener). [Reply]
Originally Posted by RunKC:
Just named Bo Nix the starter for week 1. Let’s see what he does playing ont he road the first 3/4 against 3 defenses ranked top 10 in points allowed last year and the other adding Mike McDonald (road opener).
Opening @ SEA will definitely be a nice 'welcome to the NFL' for Nix. I'm sure the record for rookie QBs getting their first start in a season road opener isn't great, but I'll take whatever happens. [Reply]
Originally Posted by Mile High Mania:
Opening @ SEA will definitely be a nice 'welcome to the NFL' for Nix. I'm sure the record for rookie QBs getting their first start in a season road opener isn't great, but I'll take whatever happens.
Originally Posted by Mile High Mania:
Opening @ SEA will definitely be a nice 'welcome to the NFL' for Nix. I'm sure the record for rookie QBs getting their first start in a season road opener isn't great, but I'll take whatever happens.
Not likely to win but Seattle had the #30 defense last year and has a new coach this year. Should be as good a chance as any for Nix to look solid in his debut. [Reply]
Originally Posted by wazu:
Not likely to win but Seattle had the #30 defense last year and has a new coach this year. Should be as good a chance as any for Nix to look solid in his debut.
Worst case, I think it will be close either way, 3-4 point margin. Obviously, I will project a Denver win, something like 23-20. [Reply]
Originally Posted by Megatron96:
Tough for a rookie QB to win away. And in SEA, with that crowd noise, it will be even harder.
Totally agree. It’s a good story though, so I think that’s how the NFL will script it. They want him to return with a win to face Wilson in week 2. [Reply]
Originally Posted by Mile High Mania:
Totally agree. It’s a good story though, so I think that’s how the NFL will script it. They want him to return with a win to face Wilson in week 2.
Never took you for the "NFL is scripted" type. [Reply]
