The mighty Bills from Buffalo will take the AFC this year.
For two decades I watched people say the Patriots window was closed, that their time was dwindling, that it was all over… seemingly every time those predictions happened, the Patriots went and won another Super Bowl.
A lot of doom talk simply because we lost to the Bengals in the playoffs. Let us not forget that the Bills watched their brother DIE on the field just a few weeks prior. Their heart was simply not in it. If it had been, the Bills would have captured the AFC last year.
The Bills have won 2 of their last 3 in Arrowhead and they’re ready to make it 3 of the last 4.
Originally Posted by staylor26:
If they "key in on Henry" than Lamar can just as easily have a career day on the ground. The Bill run D is not very good, and it's definitely not shutting them both down.
I’ll believe it when I see it with Lamar. The weather and Bills home field would be too much imo. [Reply]
Allen’s good playoff resume is almost exclusively wild card games. Add in the OT divisional game and people act like he’s Mahomes in the playoffs. In all but one of his playoff losses he has been average at best to bad. He’s been better than Lamar but they are closer in playoff performance than people realize. I see no clear good predictable QB performance advantage here. The Ravens with a better defense and running game gives them the victory for me. [Reply]
Originally Posted by mr. tegu:
Allen’s good playoff resume is almost exclusively wild card games. Add in the OT divisional game and people act like he’s Mahomes in the playoffs. In all but one of his playoff losses he has been average at best to bad. He’s been better than Lamar but they are closer in playoff performance than people realize. I see no clear good predictable QB performance advantage here. The Ravens with a better defense and running game gives them the victory for me.
Allen and Jackson both roughly .500 playoff QB's. [Reply]
Originally Posted by RunKC:
11 degrees and wind chill close to 0. You’d think those conditions would affect Lamar throwing the ball.
Assuming Zay Flowers doesn’t play…why wouldn’t you flood the box and middle of field? Nobody on the outside receiver should scare the Bills
Rashad Bateman has actually been really good outside the numbers this year (and would be even better if more of a focal point/paired with a more adept passing QB).
But yeah, I think you'd still try to make the Ravens beat you with him, and focus on taking away the deep seams to the TEs, the flats to Likely, and the run game.
I'm just not sure Buffalo has the horses up front to get it done. There is not much "beef" in the middle of their DL or in the second level. Even Milano is a smaller LB who can struggle to shed blocks if people get hands on him. [Reply]
Originally Posted by staylor26:
If they "key in on Henry" than Lamar can just as easily have a career day on the ground. The Bill run D is not very good, and it's definitely not shutting them both down.
Eh.
Focusing on eliminating Henry CAN also eliminate Jackson's legs. Gotta maintain gap discipline but if you do, Jackson's not going to have the room to come forward on his scrambles. Everything is going to have to go sideways first and that takes a lot of the ceiling out of those runs.
Jackson's real headaches come in two ways these days -- 1) Up the chute when he sees a quick opening in the A gap (sometimes B gap) and just bursts through the middle and now you have guys who have lost their angles almost immediately. Those are 40 yarders waiting to happen. Or 2) The scramble drill shit that he's gotten annoyingly good at. He does get sideways and backwards in ways that allow him to buy time and hit open receivers when the back end falters.
If the wind takes away 2, gap discipline designed to stop Henry should bottle up 1. That leaves him with, what, speed option shit?
Pft - go right ahead.
I just don't know that it matters. I don't think stopping 1 is a realistic possibility for Buffalo because they just don't have the personnel to do it. I could see Baltimore doing to them what they did to Denver last week and just shoving them around the field. [Reply]
Focusing on eliminating Henry CAN also eliminate Jackson's legs. Gotta maintain gap discipline but if you do, Jackson's not going to have the room to come forward on his scrambles. Everything is going to have to go sideways first and that takes a lot of the ceiling out of those runs.
Jackson's real headaches come in two ways these days -- 1) Up the chute when he sees a quick opening in the A gap (sometimes B gap) and just bursts through the middle and now you have guys who have lost their angles almost immediately. Those are 40 yarders waiting to happen. Or 2) The scramble drill shit that he's gotten annoyingly good at. He does get sideways and backwards in ways that allow him to buy time and hit open receivers when the back end falters.
If the wind takes away 2, gap discipline designed to stop Henry should bottle up 1. That leaves him with, what, speed option shit?
Pft - go right ahead.
I just don't know that it matters. I don't think stopping 1 is a realistic possibility for Buffalo because they just don't have the personnel to do it. I could see Baltimore doing to them what they did to Denver last week and just shoving them around the field.
I'm not saying it can't be done, I'm just saying I don't see the Bills garbage run defense doing it. [Reply]
