Adjusted EPA through Week 5

We have a new No. 1 pic.twitter.com/SuXzB6s5l3

— Computer Cowboy (@benbbaldwin) October 8, 2024

Cooked
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God damn, Pat. :-)
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Gotta get something positive I guess.
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So Joe is playing his best ball ever and they’re still 1-4?

:-)

Absolutely cursed franchise
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Hardest fucking proof you'll ever see that stats are for losers.

Burrow 1-4
49ers 2-3
Carr 2-3
Flacco 0-1
Kyler 2-3
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Paul Dehner from the Athletic.

Why the Bengals’ dire situation has glimmer of hope as defense seeks answers

"…. A day later, the feeling hadn’t subsided from the coaching staff and players off to the worst start since 2019 and a defense that’s allowed more points per drive through five games than any Bengalsteam this decade.

They’ve allowed at least 108 yards rushing to every opponent, an average of 151 per game and a defensive rushing success percentage of 47.1, 5 percentage points worse than anyone else in football. And when they sold out to stop it Sunday, Lamar Jackson lit them up for 348 yards and four touchdowns through the air. This just two weeks after Jayden Daniels and the Commandersscored on every possession excluding kneeldowns, with him completing a rookie-record 91 percent of his passes.

Somehow, an offense that scored 33, 34 and 38 points over the last three weeks won only once.

Now the Bengals just lost their most consistent starting cornerback, Dax Hill, for the season with a torn ACL.

Only 9 percent of teams to start 1-4 over the last decade made the playoffs.

No, it’s not all that dumb to write them off. Recalibrating their situation after Sunday’s loss, the prospects are undeniably dire.

That doesn’t mean they are done.

There are too many factors keeping hope alive — none pumping more blood than Joe Burrow and the offense.

Joe Burrow through first five games
STAT 2021 2022 2023 2024
Total Yards 1293 1401 1055 1409
Cmp% 71.7% 64.9% 62.4% 72.3%
TDs 11 10 5 12
Turnovers 6 6 4 3
Sacks 14 18 11 11
Teams playing at their level right now don’t keep losing, no matter how bad the defense. They just don’t. In fact, they’ve never lost at this level in the first place.

At 2.93 points per drive, the Bengals rank second in the NFL behind only the Commanders. That ranks 19th best by any team this century through the first five games of a season.

Of the 80 best offensive starts in that span, not a single other team won only one game. Only the Bengals.

Here are the five teams that won two games or fewer while posting at least 2.5 points per drive this century.

Offenses through five games since 2000
RK YR TEAM WINS FINAL
6th 2021 team-logo-46-50x50.pngChiefs 2 12-5
19th 2024 team-logo-37-50x50.pngBengals 1 ?
28th 2005 team-logo-56-50x50.pngChargers 2 9-7
55th 2016 team-logo-50-50x50.pngSaints 2 7-9
56th 2020 team-logo-47-50x50.pngDolphins 2 10-6
59th 2020 team-logo-39-50x50.pngCowboys 2 6-10
Just five teams won only twice. Notable among the group at 2-3 despite a dominant offense were the 2021 Chiefs, whom the Bengals beat in the AFC Championship Game. Their young defense came together just enough over the second half of the season for Patrick Mahomes to pull them back to the title game. Even they managed two wins to build on.

What the Bengals just pulled off over the first five weeks of the season is essentially unprecedented in modern football.

Breaking a decades-long precedent has to contain fluky finishes. A fourth-and-16 conversion by Mahomes via a penalty in Kansas City. A bad field goal hold by Ryan Rehkow against Baltimore. Two walk-off field goal losses. Four one-possession defeats by 15 total points.

They haven’t closed out games despite countless opportunities. That’s a potentially fatal flaw, maybe even more concerning than the defense. When scoring 30-plus points every week, that really shouldn’t matter. Right now, it has them buried."

Cursed indeed. Die mike brown DIE!!!
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1-4
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A final score is a stat, dumbass.
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You're not leading in that stat.

We are.
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Bengals will probably win their next 4 games. Then Balt and LAC will be possible loses. That would be 6 with Dallas looming and loss 7. Pitt defense may get Joe in one of the games.
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Not really. Look at Mahomes' college record. If you have a shitty defense you simply aren't going to win.
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Didn't know you could plot by season, too....



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Quesadilla rfaulk34
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They are in football for sure. Football is not a game of numbers.
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Burrow's stats look nice same way Kirk Cousins' stats and Dakota Prescott's stats look nice. Padding to the fullest. What do all three players have in common? They can't carry a team on their back. You know, win. Close out games in the clutch and such. They need the ideal situation, all the pieces to fall in place. Oportunistic turnovers by the defense, which if my short term memory serves me well, the bungholes got on Sunday, in OT.
It's not by some strange coincidence that the bungholes dig themselves these deep holes early in the season.
Elite QBs don't put their teams in such holes... but queer looking Joey Burrr certainly does. And when that oportunistic defense is not there to save the day, you become 1–4 and eventually miss the playoffs.
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