Originally Posted by Megatron96:
Meh. We don't cover TEs very well. Knox is going to have a decent game. Just hope he doesn't have a career one.
Our ability to cover TEs has absolutely nothing to do with the fact that Knox is not better than Kincaid, or that Knox hasn't ripped us a new one every year.
And the chances of him having anything more than a "decent" game are pretty slim, more or less a career day. We haven't even given up 100 yards to a TE since week 1 when we were trotting the worst version of Bolton out there that we've ever seen. [Reply]
3 teams left on the AFC radar we need to beat - Bills, Texans and Steelers and we should be a lock to host the AFCCG once again! GEAUX CHIEFS! :-) [Reply]
Chiefs (9-0) at Bills (8-2)
4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: BUF -2 (45.5 O/U)
Chiefs storyline to watch: In seven career games against the Chiefs, counting three in the playoffs, quarterback Josh Allen has 16 touchdown passes, three interceptions and a QBR of 74. Are the Chiefs capable of keeping him from another big game this time, even if Allen is throwing to a group of receivers depleted by injuries? In the past two weeks, the Chiefs put up little resistance against Tampa Bay's Baker Mayfield and Denver's Bo Nix. -- Adam Teicher
Bills storyline to watch: Can the Bills' defense continue to limit the Chiefs' offense in the regular season? The Bills have held the Chiefs to 20.8 points per game in four regular-season meetings since 2020. Taking the ball away is a point of emphasis for this defense and could be the key to success. The Bills have 12 straight games with at least one takeaway, the second-longest active streak in the NFL after the Lions (13). -- Alaina Getzenberg
Stat to know: The Bills have won five straight games; Buffalo's plus-61 scoring margin during the win streak is the third highest by any team in the NFL over that span, trailing only the Lions (plus-91) and the Eagles (plus-82)
Bold prediction: Bills cornerback Christian Benford will pick off quarterback Patrick Mahomes. Benford is playing great this season. In fact, no outside cornerback has allowed fewer yards per coverage snap (0.6) than he has, per NFL Next Gen Stats. Part of that is because he's allowing fewer targets than average (13%), but it's also that he has a minus-9% completion percentage allowed over expectation. -- Walder
Injuries: Chiefs | Bills
Fantasy X factor: Chiefs running back Kareem Hunt. Kansas City is first in time of possession (33:01), which means we should see a lot of Hunt. He has had 20-plus touches in each of his past four games, scoring at least 17 fantasy points in three of them. The Bills' defense is allowing the second-most fantasy points per game to running backs. See Week 11 rankings. -- Moody
Betting nugget: The Chiefs are 0-4 ATS in their past four conference games. Read more.
Kahler's pick: Bills 29, Chiefs 27
Moody's pick: Bills 25, Chiefs 23
Walder's pick: Bills 24, Chiefs 17
FPI prediction: BUF, 53.1% (by an average of 1.4 points) [Reply]
The Chiefs are underdogs in the betting markets against the Bills. Let's summarise:
The Bills have had only 2 games that on paper are difficult; against the Texans and the Ravens. They lost to the Texans who aren't actually good and got blown out by the Ravens who the Chiefs beat.
Also Mahomes is 8-1-1 as an underdog in the betting market.
We are going to beat them. It's going to be a torturous win but we will do it. Just another step in our 20-0 and Threepeat. [Reply]
Originally Posted by staylor26:
Our ability to cover TEs has absolutely nothing to do with the fact that Knox is not better than Kincaid, or that Knox hasn't ripped us a new one every year.
And the chances of him having anything more than a "decent" game are pretty slim, more or less a career day. We haven't even given up 100 yards to a TE since week 1 when we were trotting the worst version of Bolton out there that we've ever seen.
Likely 111 yds 1 TD
Gesicki 7 rec 91 yds
Pitts 2 rec 59 yds
Bowers went 5/5 52 yds without an actual QB
Kittle had 92 yds
C. Otton went 8 rec 77 yds 1 TD
Point being, when the other team has an actual QB, their TE usually has a good day. And once when they didn't have a good QB.
Now, I'm not really scared Knox is going to go off or something. But he will probably have a decent day for himself, because BUF has a real live top-3 QB throwing the ball to him. [Reply]
