Originally Posted by :
Unemployment will shoot up to 15 percent during the second quarter of the year, while gross domestic product (GDP) will fall at an annualized rate of 34 percent as the coronavirus pandemic ripples through the U.S. economy, according to forecasts Goldman Sachs released Tuesday.
The new outlook shows a deeper recession than an analysis from the investment bank last week, which predicted 9 percent unemployment and an economic trough showing a 24 percent decline.
Goldman Sachs is still predicting a "V-shape" recovery, however, meaning the steep drop-off will lead to a bigger bounce of 19 percent in the third quarter.
"Our estimates imply that a bit more than half of the near-term output decline is made up by yearend and that real GDP falls 6.2% in 2020 on an annual-average basis (vs. 3.7% in our previous forecast)," the forecast said
Goldman Sachs new projections for Q2 drop from -24% GDP to -34%. Somehow they still have us shooting right back up with +19% Q3 GDP. I get we had a lot of stimulus but it's hard to imagine bouncing back to that level. I'd have been happy if we bounced back to flat growth. [Reply]
Oh. I don't use that one, so I can't help you there. But I bet it's got one, usually under "research" or some such header. They won't usually filter on things like "blue chip", but in my various accounts I can filter for things like revenue and dividend paid and a million other things like eps growth, p/e, book value, and other stuff. [Reply]
Originally Posted by scho63:
What's everyone's feeling on Disney?
What do we think will be the first industries to get back to full operations?
Gyms, movie theaters, airlines and cruise companies will probably be the last
My thinking right now is restaurants. People in general may forego that expensive trip for awhile but will go out for a sit down dinner a few miles from home just to get out and away when this all blows over and employment starts to come back and they get that first full check. Just my thoughts though. I've been wrong before. [Reply]
Originally Posted by johnny961:
My thinking right now is restaurants. People in general may forego that expensive trip for awhile but will go out for a sit down dinner a few miles from home just to get out and away when this all blows over and employment starts to come back and they get that first full check. Just my thoughts though. I've been wrong before.
Long Darden cuz Ma and Pop shops are probably screwed. [Reply]