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Nzoner's Game Room>Investing megathread extravaganza
DaFace 11:23 AM 06-27-2016
A place to talk about investing stuff.
[Reply]
Buehler445 04:09 PM 03-11-2020
Originally Posted by Discuss Thrower:
Literally studied the market in the process of earning a master's degree.


So no. No I'm not.
You basing that on technicals? Fibonacci? Elliot wave? Wat makes you think that?
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Hammock Parties 04:14 PM 03-11-2020
discuss thinks the market is his dick

it never goes up
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Discuss Thrower 04:16 PM 03-11-2020
Originally Posted by Buehler445:
You basing that on technicals? Fibonacci? Elliot wave? Wat makes you think that?
Technical analysis is the modern day equivalent of reading tea leaves.
[Reply]
RunKC 04:24 PM 03-11-2020
I think the bottom will be around the last week of this month or early April.

Depending on the effect it has here, I think it’s fair to say the drop will be around 30-35%
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Shiver Me Timbers 04:28 PM 03-11-2020
Originally Posted by Discuss Thrower:
About 40% below what the S&P is currently marked at.
I think it will be another 20-25% from current levels.
What Dr. Fauci said today puts us in uncharted waters so who knows.
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ghak99 04:28 PM 03-11-2020
Originally Posted by Discuss Thrower:
Technical analysis is the modern day equivalent of reading tea leaves.
I'm going to be wiping my ass with tea leaves if the local methican americans don't quit hoarding TP!

I'm pulling this from an old timer who is aging fast but has traded with more than I will probably ever even accumulate. 10% of the market was an emotional "bet the come". That went up in smoke. Deal in a 10% correction for global panic sales. Next we get the 10% of actual financial corrections due to physical losses. He then said, where are we in this mess and how far off are those 10% guesses?

Who knows.
[Reply]
philfree 04:46 PM 03-11-2020
Originally Posted by Buehler445:
**** Chipotle. I boycotted those fools after they went organic/all natural what the **** ever.
I didn't buy the stock because I eat there I bought it because other people do and the stock tends to go up. I have eaten Chipotle exactly once. I'd go to a Qdoba before I'd go to a Chipotle.
[Reply]
Buehler445 04:57 PM 03-11-2020
Originally Posted by Discuss Thrower:
Technical analysis is the modern day equivalent of reading tea leaves.
Not disagreeing here. Just wondering where you came up with an additional 60% down. Technicals would be the easiest way to get there. You trying to apply historical P/E ratios to GDP or what?

I haven’t paid attention to shit, but I highly doubt you’re in high company expecting that big of a drop.

Just wondering where you’re getting that target from.

Originally Posted by philfree:
I didn't buy the stock because I eat there I bought it because other people do and the stock tends to go up. I have eaten Chipotle exactly once. I'd go to a Qdoba before I'd go to a Chipotle.
Still out.

If my stock purchase raises their stock .0001 basis points and executives get any money out of stock options I don’t think I could live with myself. Fuck those bitches.
[Reply]
Discuss Thrower 05:09 PM 03-11-2020
Originally Posted by Buehler445:
Not disagreeing here. Just wondering where you came up with an additional 60% down. Technicals would be the easiest way to get there. You trying to apply historical P/E ratios to GDP or what?

I haven’t paid attention to shit, but I highly doubt you’re in high company expecting that big of a drop.

Just wondering where you’re getting that target from.



Still out.

If my stock purchase raises their stock .0001 basis points and executives get any money out of stock options I don’t think I could live with myself. Fuck those bitches.
The S&P 500 dropped ~45% in the period of time that encompassed the death of Bear in March '08 and then when it started to continuously go up after something like March 3, 2009.

We have yet to have our 'death of Bear Stearns' moment but it will precede a second Great Recession.

Job losses will take hold, there'll be some bankruptcies once enough bullshit called on the auto and student loan market. Young people aren't buying houses and this won't get better.

Then you start thinking about new political realities which will not be market friendly..
[Reply]
Buehler445 05:24 PM 03-11-2020
Originally Posted by Discuss Thrower:
The S&P 500 dropped ~45% in the period of time that encompassed the death of Bear in March '08 and then when it started to continuously go up after something like March 3, 2009.

We have yet to have our 'death of Bear Stearns' moment but it will precede a second Great Recession.

Job losses will take hold, there'll be some bankruptcies once enough bullshit called on the auto and student loan market. Young people aren't buying houses and this won't get better.

Then you start thinking about new political realities which will not be market friendly..
There is a long way to go before that.
[Reply]
Buehler445 05:39 PM 03-11-2020
Originally Posted by ghak99:
I'm going to be wiping my ass with tea leaves if the local methican americans don't quit hoarding TP!

I'm pulling this from an old timer who is aging fast but has traded with more than I will probably ever even accumulate. 10% of the market was an emotional "bet the come". That went up in smoke. Deal in a 10% correction for global panic sales. Next we get the 10% of actual financial corrections due to physical losses. He then said, where are we in this mess and how far off are those 10% guesses?

Who knows.
I laughed unreasonably hard at this. Particularly "methican American."
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Hog's Gone Fishin 05:50 PM 03-11-2020
Don't panic people. the stock market is run by a shit load of greedy people. When this is all over you're gonna see stocks take off like a rocket.

I wish I had a shitload of cash to throw in right now but i don't
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Buehler445 06:03 PM 03-11-2020
Originally Posted by Hog's Gone Fishin:
Don't panic people. the stock market is run by a shit load of greedy people. When this is all over you're gonna see stocks take off like a rocket.

I wish I had a shitload of cash to throw in right now but i don't
Lean hogs have made a nice base. They’re ready to take off. Perfect time to get back in! :-)
[Reply]
Shiver Me Timbers 07:39 PM 03-11-2020
Originally Posted by Buehler445:
Lean hogs have made a nice base. They’re ready to take off. Perfect time to get back in! :-)
Says McDonald's 6 months before they bring back the mc rib
[Reply]
Hog's Gone Fishin 08:10 PM 03-11-2020
Originally Posted by Buehler445:
Lean hogs have made a nice base. They’re ready to take off. Perfect time to get back in! :-)
I hate Hogs!
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