Originally Posted by Red Dawg:
Final Four did not seem likely this year. They have shocked me.
With the one and done formats, things don't always work as you expect.
In a best of seven format with only 8 teams, the 97 team would win the title 90+% of the time. But it isn't and they didn't.
The flip side is that this year's team made the final four and has, a statistically speaking, easy path to a championship compared to what you would normally expect.
For what it's worth, 538 is giving them a 40% of winning it all and that's not even taking into account nova's injury. [Reply]
KU has played in the last 4 Final Fours in New Orleans (2022, 2012, 2003, 1993)
538 gives us a 69% chance of getting past Villanova (we were 76% vs Miami and 72% vs Providence). Should it be Duke that we play we have a 55% Win probability and if UNC 64%. Overall as things stand right now going into the Final Four the chances of winning the title are:
KU - 41%
Duke - 31%
UNC - 15%
Villanova - 13% [Reply]