Because of all the interest in this thread, I've place all of the video content of Patrick Mahomes II's college career, and draft day goodness into a single post that can be found here. Enjoy! [Reply]
Originally Posted by Kiimosabi:
It was Tej Seth after he made this graph lol
since we're all looking at how quarterbacks do in pure passing situations, here's how each quarterback has done dropping back when their expected pass % is greater than 70% #nflversepic.twitter.com/qUuyKB1spV
Which further illustrates my theory that we should be passing every fucking down unless 2nd/3rd & short or goaline. Zero 1st and 10's should be running plays unless they give us some just ridiculously stupid look. [Reply]
Originally Posted by Detoxing:
Bears fans created this Meme with Rex Grossman and you ripped it off. Much like your gay ass "Captain Mahomes" bullshit that you stole from Colts fans.
It's fine and all that you revitalized it with Mahomes, but don't try to steal someone's meme like it was your idea.
I forgot about the captain Mahomes thing :-):-) [Reply]
Originally Posted by BWillie:
Which further illustrates my theory that we should be passing every fucking down unless 2nd/3rd & short or goaline. Zero 1st and 10's should be running plays unless they give us some just ridiculously stupid look.
Originally Posted by -King-:
So we should be more predictable?
Yes. Because despite being predictable and the other team knowing we are passing - they STILL can't stop it. If the expected yards per play of a pass if they know you are passing 100% of the time is more than the expected yards per a play on a run (even if you catch them off guard) you should theoretically never run the ball (unless situationally up by multiple scores or it's 2nd and 1 or something). [Reply]
Originally Posted by BWillie:
Yes. Because despite being predictable and the other team knowing we are passing - they STILL can't stop it. If the expected yards per play of a pass if they know you are passing 100% of the time is more than the expected yards per a play on a run (even if you catch them off guard) you should theoretically never run the ball (unless situationally up by multiple scores or it's 2nd and 1 or something).
Why run in those situations then? If passing is almost always better, why run on 2nd and 3rd and shorts? [Reply]
Originally Posted by Hammock Parties:
Fortson still can't believe he's in the NFL :-)
He only has 1 TD short of Kelce this year. Tried telling y’all that Fortson would be the #2 TE and once again I was right and you guys were wrong [Reply]
Originally Posted by -King-:
Why run in those situations then? If passing is almost always better, why run on 2nd and 3rd and shorts?
Because those are situations where yards per play doesn't matter as much and success percentage matters more in achieving the first down. Also it allows you to super exploit the defense there.
I would argue that if some team was crazy deep chucking team and had a low comp pct that perhaps always throwing on 1st and 10 wouldn't always be a good idea, but Patrick's comp is at a career high and in prior years it is never a weakness despite how much we throw. [Reply]
Originally Posted by -King-:
Why run in those situations then? If passing is almost always better, why run on 2nd and 3rd and shorts?
If you don't keep the Defense honest, they can just tee off on attacking your QB every down. They can also keep plenty of people in coverage. Keep your QB healthy, make the D have to consider the run, and it opens thing up even more in the pass game. [Reply]
Originally Posted by MAHOMO 4 LIFE!:
He only has 1 TD short of Kelce this year. Tried telling y’all that Fortson would be the #2 TE and once again I was right and you guys were wrong
