I just feel like everyone is going to spend all week talking about Mahomes' ankle or Burrow being a Demigod or Chase against this young secondary or Lou Anarumo being a psychopath...and then in the end it's just going to Samaje Perine bludgeoning Bolton and Gay to death.
Originally Posted by penguinz:
0-2 is only a 11% chance of making playoffs.
Just fwiw - it's different saying that "only 11% of teams that start 0-2 have made the playoffs" and "teams that start 0-2 have only an 11% chance of making the playoffs."
The statistic you're quoting is the former whereas you would not be correct in saying that all 0-2 teams only have an 11% chance. For obvious reasons no one would believe that the 0-2 Bengals have the same probability of making the playoffs as the 0-2 Texans. [Reply]
Originally Posted by TwistedChief:
Just fwiw - it's different saying that "only 11% of teams that start 0-2 have made the playoffs" and "teams that start 0-2 have only an 11% chance of making the playoffs."
The statistic you're quoting is the former whereas you would not be correct in saying that all 0-2 teams only have an 11% chance. For obvious reasons no one would believe that the 0-2 Bengals have the same probability of making the playoffs as the 0-2 Texans.
Wrong.
I stated 0-2 is an 11% chance to make the playoffs. I did not say only 11% of teams that have started 0-2 made the playoffs. [Reply]
Originally Posted by penguinz:
Wrong.
I stated 0-2 is an 11% chance to make the playoffs. I did not say only 11% of teams that have started 0-2 made the playoffs.
No, I'm telling you the "11% number" is not the probability of an 0-2 making the playoffs but the number of 0-2 teams that have historically made the playoffs.
Originally Posted by Detoxing:
Just kinda shows that these W/L = playoffs equations are silly.
1st, most of that is based off a 16 game schedule. 2nd, teams like the Chiefs/Bengals/Bills/Eagles etc are all plenty capable of rattling off long winning streaks.
Bengals could go 0-5 and still make the playoffs.
In general, I agree with this statement. In the context of this current season, I'd consider that to be nearly impossible. The Bengals are already 0-2 in their division. The Ravens appear to be better. Browns and Steelers I'm not certain yet. Burrow is nursing an injury and I'm still convinced OBJ is going to get him killed at some point.
None of those circumstances is insurmountable, but together I think it means a step back for the Bengals this year. [Reply]
Originally Posted by TwistedChief:
No, I'm telling you the "11% number" is not the probability of an 0-2 making the playoffs but the number of 0-2 teams that have historically made the playoffs.
Originally Posted by mr. tegu:
If Burrow didn’t turn into Alex Smith in the playoffs you would have back to back Super Bowl wins but instead you have none and this season is going to be wasted as it’s clearly over to win anything and the Bengals will be in limbo for years now while they keep trying to recapture the luck that got them as far as they got until the roster and coaching staff turns over, just like the Bills.
Originally Posted by FlaChief58:
I thought they would be on a mission to win it all this year knowing that they're going to lose some pieces next year. Glad to see the bungles are back. Now maybe their obnoxious fans will stfu
Originally Posted by POND_OF_RED:
It already did last week with Dobbins and this week with OBJ. They just have the fortune of being that much better than everyone else in that division that it’s not as noticeable.
As much as i don't like RB8, when he's healthy he's a cheat code. [Reply]
