I'm surprised it's 40% overall (especially since 2001).

Google says in the past couple seasons, any given drive results in a touchdown ~22% of the time and points 37% of the time... and the TD stat only rises to 30% if the ball is at/inside the 50 to begin the drive.

The playoffs have a far higher percentage of clutch QBs and good offenses, of course, but it's still only 60 seconds... plus the best not-Mahomes QBs are only 50% means the rest of the league is probably close to that 40% number (as opposed to Brady, Brees, Mahomes, etc; all being 75% and then the rest of the league being trash). And it's not like there are enough great QBs to fill in a playoff bracket, and many of them play each other in the early rounds.

Maybe out of those 125, 90 only needed a FG. :-)
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